XAUUSD by munassar3030 — TradingView

📊What do the numbers say? (COT Report – May 26)

· Large Speculators (“The Crowd”): Their net buying volume decreased to +154,260 contracts. Their January performance was very positive at +251,238. Now they have been withdrawn from the market. This is “surrender”.
· Dealers (Market Makers): Net selling volume decreased to -185,766 contracts. They cover their short positions and make huge profits from the price collapse.
· Open Interest (OI): plunged -25,836 contracts. Liquidity is leaving the market. We’re running out of fuel.

⚡ What does this mean? (expected scenario)
We are now in the “absorption phase”. The “smart money” quietly buys from the frightened “flock.” This is usually the scene just before the end of a downtrend wave.

· The Decisive Test: Any rebound towards $4,540 to $4,560 is a “test” of the bottom. If the price fails to break out of this area, it is confirmation that the downward wave is not over yet.
· Possible Reversal: If the price breaks $4,580 and closes above it, this is the first evidence that the “smart money” has started pushing higher and a new bullish wave may begin.

🎯 Trading plan (based on liquidity analysis):

· Trading: 🔴Sell Gold (XAU/USD)
· Entry zone: $4,540 – $4,560 (rebound to supply zone)
·Risk Management: Daily close stable above $4,580
· First goal: $4,500
· Second target: $4,434 (bottom on May 26)

💡This is a quantitative interpretation of liquidity flows and volume behavior, not direct financial advice. Strict compliance with risk management is the basis for continuity. The analysis is the result of applying a comprehensive liquidity approach, the efficiency of which has been proven in previous transactions.

#Volume_Profile #VSA #Wyckoff #XAUUSD #Gold #Manser_Al-Marhabi