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Gold is facing an unstoppable bearish situation. If you’re taking the “rest and retest” course, your current setup is almost perfect.
Mode: History Repeats🔁
Sellers (shorts) have complete control over the 2H time frame. This has happened twice:
First Breakout: Initially, the large wedge pattern was broken downwards and then retested in an orderly manner, resulting in a sharp price decline.
Current situation: The second descending wedge pattern has also been broken.
Motivation: Resistance still exists 🧱
Retest: Price retests the major descending resistance line (around $4,700).
Denial: This level is like a solid wall. The “retest” area on the chart shows the point where downside momentum is expected to resume.
Momentum: As long as price remains below this diagonal resistance line, the bearish scenario remains 100% valid.
Plan: Target $4,300 🎯
The path is clear. As the local wedge is broken and major resistance remains, price is likely to head towards the liquidity zone:
Main target: $4,300 (strong support).
Why $4,300? Because this is an important psychological and structural level, buyers may start entering the market again.
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