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Dorchester Center, MA 02124

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Donald Trump continues to take tough stance as military presence in the Middle East increases → Geopolitical risks continue to rise.
Tonight’s focus: The Federal Reserve
Political pressure and questions about the Fed’s independence.
The U.S. dollar index (DXY) continues to fall, retesting important historical support areas (2020-2022) → a support factor for gold prices.
👉Conclusion: Geopolitics and dollar weakness determine the uptrend, while the Fed determines short-term volatility.
📊Daily monitoring scope
Upper limit: 5,280 – 5,305
Lower limit: 5,190 – 5,160
→ Range-bound volatility and liquidity absorption are more likely before the Fed’s decision.
🟢Support
5,220–5,225 | 5,220–5,225 5,150–5,165 | 5,150–5,165 5,080–5,085 | 5,050–5,060
🔴Resistor
5,280–5,294 | 5,300 | 5,300 5,315 | 5,315 5,380–5,385
⚠️Strategy Notes
Watch for feints in this range/look for stop loss orders.
Avoid chasing peaks or trying to catch peaks without confirmation.
Watch price reactions at key levels while remaining disciplined.
Summary: Gold’s fundamentals are supported, but the most important thing during the day is the price interaction within the 5,160-5,305 range.
Be patient – wait for confirmation – and trade based on reaction.
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