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✅ 4-hour frame trend analysis
Judging from the 4-hour moving average structure, the upward trend has ended. The market is currently in a transitional stage from volatility to decline, and the downward trend is still continuing.
Judging from the 4-hour moving average structure, the upward trend has ended. The market is currently in a transitional stage from volatility to decline, and the downward trend is still continuing.
● MA5 < MA10 < MA20 → Bearish order confirmation
● Bollinger Bands: Price trades below the midline → structural weakness
● Starting from 4891, the price continued to fall → hit a new low
✅ 1 hour frame trend analysis
The short-term structure shows a weak rebound + bearish continuation, a correction within the bearish trend
● The moving average acts as an obvious resistance (i.e. the retracement is suppressed)
● The price has touched the lower Bollinger Band multiple times → weak bearish fluctuations
● MACD is below zero → Sellers are in control
📊 Major Fibonacci levels
● 0.236: ≈4702 (current conflict area)
● 0.382: ≈4740 (strong resistance)
● 0.5: ≈4767 (trend breakout level)
👉 Interpretation of current structure
● Price is moving around the 0.236 level
● All overhead resistance levels remain active
● This is a weak rebound, not a reversal
🔴Resistance level (sell reference)
● 4720 (current resistance area)
● 4740 (Fibonacci 0.382) strong resistance level
● 4765 – 4780 (trend reversal area)
🟢 Support levels (downside target)
● 4668 (previous bottom) is the main support level
● 4644 (Fibonacci starting point) strong support
● 4600 (bearish target on breakout)
✅ Trading strategy reference
🔴Main strategy: Sell on rebound
● Entries: 4720 – 4735
●Target: 4668 → 4644
● Stop loss: above 4740
📍Logic:
● The bearish trends in 1H and 4H frames are consistent
● Fibonacci 0.236 resistance level
● The rebound is weak and has no obvious momentum and structure.
🟢 Secondary strategy: Buy at support level (small amount)
● Entry: 4668/4644 Buy
● Target: 4700
● Stop loss: below 4640
📍Logic:
● Support the early bottom
● Technical rebound expected due to oversold conditions
● Short-term trading only
⚠️Trend summary
👉 If the price breaks through 4668 → the decline will accelerate towards 4644/4600
👉 If the price remains above 4740 → the downward pressure eases and the market enters volatility or rebounds
🔔 Last point
Gold trading is not only a contest of strategy and technical ability, but also a test of your ability to interpret market sentiment and timing.
By catching every wave of the market and moving forward steadily, you can achieve sustained growth even in the face of wild swings.
Let’s move forward together – through careful analysis and rigorous execution – to start your path to sustained gold trading profits 💪💪
