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Bitcoin monthly breakout and weekly bearish flag pressure


Bitcoin monthly breakout and weekly bearish flag pressure

Bitcoin/Tether Binance: BTCUSDT



Bitcoin is currently trading in the middle of a historical ascending channel…
Specifically…the market has entered a very sensitive area: the fatal equilibrium area.

🧠 In channel logic:
The middle is not an opportunity…but an arena of struggle between buyers and sellers.

Current price:
No strong support (lower boundary)
Nor is it at a decisive resistance level (upper limit)
👉 Instead, in the middle…bad decisions are lost.
⚖️ But here’s the deciding factor…week off

On the weekly frame it is clearly formed:
📉 Bear flag pattern
This model in the current context means:
Recent uptick = just a correction
This is not the start of a new uptrend

🔥 More dangerous than this:
This pattern coincides with the price position in the middle of the monthly channel
👉 This supports the idea:
The next breakout may not be random…but an extension of a larger downward move

The most likely scenario now is:
Breakout of the middle of the channel (dynamic support)
Then continue to descend to the lower boundary
📉 This gives:
The downside scenario is significantly better than the upside scenario

🔺 As for alternatives (currently weaker):
Require:
Bear flag pattern failed
And broke through the nearby mountains with strong momentum
📈 Only in this way can the trend be re-evaluated

🎯Conclusion:
Channel midline conference, weekly bear flag appears
Not just a signal…but an early warning of deeper movements
✔️ Don’t buy anything in between
✔️Not confident about the current rise
✔️ Better to wait for the real value area



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