XAUUSD Weekly Outlook

XAUUSD – Brian | Weekly Outlook: Expansion after liquidity withdrawal?

Gold just hit a new weekly high near 5,150, completing a strong momentum leg that began with an accumulation base of 4,880. The 2-hour structure shows a clear break above previous resistance (5,119 area), confirming short-term bullish momentum.

However, the price is now approaching liquidity territory on the longer time frame.

🔎Technical architecture

Current weekly high: ~5,150–5,160

Primary liquidity target: 5,300–5,323 (supply on longer timeframes)

Breakout level: 5,119 (former resistance, now potential support)

The following demand areas: 4,990–5,020

Deeper Support: 4,960–4,980 (Last Consolidation Base)

The high of 4,880 points indicates a strong move and a minor pullback – usually a sign of aggressive buying. But after such an expansion, the market tends to return to liquid equilibrium before continuing.

🌍 Basic background

The EU is scheduled to hold an emergency meeting on the 23rd to evaluate the 2025 trade agreement with the United States.
This brings short-term uncertainty to the global trade outlook, which may increase the volatility of U.S. dollar flows and indirectly affect gold.

If trade tensions flare up again → risk sentiment weakens → it could support safe-haven demand for gold.
If the outcome is constructive → Gold may still pull back temporarily.

📊 This week’s scene

Continuous rise:
Hold above 5020 → slight correction → break through 5160 → expand towards 5300 liquidity area.

Correcting withdrawal (healthy scenario):
Rejection near 5,150-5,200 → Pull back to 5,020/4,980 → Buyers reload → Follow up.

Cancel:
A sustained break below 4,960 would bring the structure back to neutral.

🔮Brian’s Vision

Gold is in an expansionary phase, but prices have extended.
A bearish pullback towards value (5,000 area) provides positions with a higher probability of chasing higher.

Liquidity above 5,300 remains attractive – the question is whether prices will pull back first or continue vertically.

Follow the channels and get structured analysis based on liquidity and precision levels before the market moves.