XAUUSD – High volatility stage, focus on basic interaction areas

📌 Market background

Gold is currently in a highly volatile environment after falling sharply below the $5,000 level, reflecting an aggressive re-pricing ahead of significant macro uncertainty. The market has moved from smooth trending behavior to a liquidity-driven and reactive phase where price moves rapidly between key technical areas.

Gold remains highly sensitive to expectations, fund flows and headlines due to ongoing changes in the leadership of the Federal Reserve and uncertainty about the future direction of monetary policy.

➡️ Current situation: Unstable situation – wait for confirmation and avoid emotional trading.

📊 Structure and Price Action (M30)

The previous deflationary momentum has lost momentum and short-term lows are beginning to form.

Prices are currently in a technical recovery stage and have not yet reached a definite turning point.

The market continues to respect demand and key levels, generating strong reactions.

There is currently no confirmed uptrend change – further verification is needed.

🔎Main vision:
Gold is trading within a decision zone, where each key level can trigger strong directional moves.

🎯 Trading Plan – MMF Method
🔵 Main Scenario – Buy on technical decline

Focus on execution based on feedback, not expectations.

Buying Zone 1: 4,667 – 4,650
(Closing order + first recovery base)

Buy Zone 2: 4,496 – 4,480
(Deep orders + low liquidity in early stage)

➡️ Only make purchases if:

There is a clear reaction on the bullish candle

Or form a higher bottom structure on the M30

Higher goals:

TP1: 4,932

TP2: 5,124 (Key Recovery Resistance/Supply Zone)

🔴Alternative – Sell on resistance reaction

If price returns to supply territory and fails to maintain upward momentum:

Sales area: 5,120 – 5,140
→ Look for short-term rejection after M30 structure

❌ Cancel

The M30 structure confirms that a close below 4,480 points will hinder the recovery and requires a full assessment.

🧠Summary

Gold is in a phase of high volatility and building structure, rather than an environment for emotional or aggressive trading. Preference is:

Trade key levels, not breakouts

Waiting for price confirmation

Prioritize risk management over forecasting

📌 In volatile markets, discipline trumps repetition.