xauusd (h1) – Regis Love

XAUUSD (H1) – Liam’s Vision | 5000 is the battleground before US data

Gold prices have pulled back towards the 5,020-5,000 area after reaching higher levels, but structurally this looks more like a technical pause than a confirmed reversal. In the first half of the year, the price still followed the short-term upward trend and remained above the liquid buying area of ​​4,796 points, while suppressing strong resistance near 5,100-5,145 points.

economic background

The market is taking positions ahead of key US data (non-farm payrolls, consumer price index).
Three pillars continue to support gold:

Dollar tone weakens

U.S. Treasury yields slow

Geopolitical tensions rise

However, data risks exhibit volatility. Level 5000 is now a psychological battlefield.

Technical structure (H1)

Strong resistance: 5,100 – 5,145

Main sales area: 5,316

Main Buy Liquidity: 4,796

Seller liquidity is as follows: 4,700 area

Price is crushing resistance levels. This usually results in one of two outcomes:

Liquidity sweeps past 5,100 → then rejected

Pullback to 4,796 to rebalance before continuing

As long as the 4,796 level remains unchanged, the broader structure of H1 remains constructive. A clean breakout and acceptance below this level would hand short-term control back to the sellers.

Liam Implementation Plan

Bullish Scenario: Weak/Weak US Data → Breakthrough of 5,145 → Expansion towards 5,300+

Bearish scenario: Surprise → Liquidity sweeps to 4,796 ahead of next structural decision

Don’t follow the address.
Let the data arrive. Let the liquidity move first.
Then place a trade at the confirmed level.

——Liam