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Gold trading is in a high-volatility recovery phase following the recent sell-off, with prices now back in clear demand territory on the first half timeframe. This is a reaction-driven market, and the structure must be in line with fundamentals for the trend to continue.
📌 Market background (fundamentals)
Gold remains highly sensitive to macro headlines as markets reassess:
Fed interest rate path forecast
U.S. Data Momentum and Signs of Slowing Growth
Sustained demand for safe-haven assets amid surge in volatility
No clear shift to hawkish policy yet → The downward trend appears to be corrective rather than impulsive.
➡️Trend: Wait for order confirmation and do not chase prices.
📊 H1 structure and technology
Sales of the former lose momentum
The price formed a technical adjustment and stayed above the previous lowest reaction point.
Current trend = rebalancing phase in broader recovery
Primary demand meets Fibonacci discount zone
🎯 Main trading area (H1)
🟢 Buying area (main order):
4,720 – 4,700
(Powerful response base + discount area)
❌ Undo:
H1 closes below 4,700 → Bullish recovery negated
🎯 Raise your goals
TP1: 5,080 (first recovery resistance level)
TP2: 5,345 (1st half primary expansion/liquidity target)
