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XAUUSD – Brian | Weekly Outlook: Compression then expansion
Gold ended the week above the mid-range structure after rejecting recent mid-term lows. In the second half, prices remained within a broader bullish framework, but momentum shrank significantly amid increased liquidity.
The market doesn’t crash – it creates stress.
🔎Technical Architecture Overview
Strong rejection of previous swing highs (near 1.0 Fibonacci)
Respect the pullback into deeper retracement territory and form higher lows
Price is currently consolidating around the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci zone
Key liquidity resistance near the upper trajectory remains untapped
This structure refers to aggregation rather than distribution.
📌Key levels for next week
Resistance/Liquidity:
Area 5,440 – 5,460 (untapped sales liquidity)
Mid-body resolution area:
Approximately 5,040 – 5,060 (current balance area)
Strong demand/restructuring areas:
4,800 – 4,860 area (main liquidity base)
📊 Possible situations
🔵 Main scene (high probability)
It pulled back to the liquidity cliff demand area of 4,850-4,900 at the beginning of the week → then the bullish trend continued to 5,400+.
This will provide a healthy reset before scaling.
🟡Alternative Scenario
If price holds above 5,000 and absorbs selling pressure, a breakout above liquidity is possible without a deep pullback.
📈 Market logic
Gold is entering a squeeze phase after a strong bullish move earlier this month.
A squeeze near a top usually precedes an expansion – the trend depends on the liquidity cliff.
Next week may involve liquidity works ahead of targeted commitments.
🎯 Focus on trading this week
Don’t chase peaks in pressure
Watch for liquidity reaction around 4,850 and 5,440
Fibonacci Convergence Zone Trade Confirmation
Structure takes precedence over feeling
Gold remains structural based on higher time frames – but patience will determine accuracy.
Follow Brian every week for structured XAUUSD analysis, liquidity mapping, and rigorous execution planning.
