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Gold is currently consolidating on the second half time frame after rejecting recent swing highs near Fibonacci 0 points. Prices remain trapped between overhead resistance and strong underlying demand fundamentals – creating a classic liquidity squeeze structure.
The market is not trending. He is getting ready.
🔎Technical architecture
Rejection of previous high (Fibonacci level 0)
The correction process follows the correction area 0.5–0.618
The current price is around the 0.236-0.382 area
Large order liquidity remains around 4,700 – 4,750
Immediate resistance is around 5,080 – 5,100
It’s a balanced structure – there’s no clear breakthrough yet.
🌍 Basic background
Recent geopolitical developments have added a layer of uncertainty.
Israel’s announcement to gradually reduce U.S. military aid and reorganize strategic certification over the next decade signals potential long-term geopolitical changes.
Realignments in geopolitical structures, while not direct catalysts, tend to:
Support safe-haven capital flows
Gold demand increases in the medium term
Add a sharp twist to your title
Gold remains sensitive to the pricing of geopolitical risks.
📊 Possible situations
🟡 Scenario 1 – First reduce liquidity
Short-term correction to 4,840-4,700 demand area
→ Withdraw liquidity
→ The uptrend continues strongly to 5,100+ and even higher.
🔵 Scenario 2 – Direct interruption
If price remains above 4,980 and absorbs selling pressure, liquidity expansion to the upside is possible without a deep correction.
🎯 Focus on trading
Watch for reaction at Fibonacci 0.236
Do not pursue stress fractures
Prioritize withdrawal of liquidity before entering
Key execution areas: 4,700 demand and 5,080 resistance
Gold compressed below resistance while holding on to structurally higher lows.
When liquidity accumulates, expansion follows.
Patience decides the situation.
Follow Brian as he conducts comprehensive XAUUSD structural analysis, liquidity mapping, and high-probability execution planning.