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Short-term recovery within a larger rising cycle💛
Market quick summary
2025 performance: Gold rises about 64%, strongest annual gain since 1979
Recent Trends: The sharp year-end correction was driven by profit-taking and margin adjustments, not trend reversal
The big picture: The multi-year bull market in precious metals remains intact
Basic background (why trends still matter)
Despite a pullback in late 2025, the broader precious metals complex structure remains strong. Gold, silver, platinum and palladium benefit from:
Expectations for the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle
Ongoing geopolitical tensions
Strong central bank buying
Industrial demand and supply constraints (especially silver and platinum)
Most analysts agree that the recent correction is technically normal. The long-term forecast remains that gold may test $5,000/oz and silver may approach $100/oz by 2026, but short-term volatility is expected to persist.
Technical Vision (H1) – Chart-Based
Gold fell sharply after failing to stay above all-time highs. Then it entered a stable stage near the strong support area. Price is currently trying to recover, but the structure suggests this is a broader corrective move.
Key points:
Strong liquidation breaks short-term bullish structure
Price is rebalancing from key support levels, forming potential higher lows
Liquidity pauses and Fibonacci areas remain key reaction areas
Critical levels of Lana monitoring
Buy zone – strong liquidity support
Purchase: 4345 – 4350
This is an area of strong liquidity and prices have reacted. If price moves back into this area and continues the structure, it presents a favorable buying opportunity in terms of risk-reward ratio, consistent with the larger bullish cycle.
Sell Zone – Short-Term Resistance (Quick Trading)
Sold for quick transaction: 4332 – 4336
This area corresponds to short-term resistance and Fibonacci reaction levels. If the price fails to break out here, a brief pullback towards support is possible.
Important liquidity overhead
Main liquidity: 4404 area
A clear breakout and stabilization above this level would signal a stronger upside continuation towards higher targets.
Scenarios to consider
Scenario 1 – Continuous Range Correction
Price reacts at short-term resistance, returns to liquidity, and establishes a base before the next directional move.
Second Scenario – Resumption of Bullish Extension
A breakout of pending liquidity would open the way to higher levels, with the potential for a retest of previous highs as the new year progresses.
Lana’s approach🌿
Transaction area instead of address
Pay attention to the price reaction of liquidity levels
Accept short-term volatility while respecting the long-term bullish structure
This analysis reflects Lana’s personal views on the market and is not financial advice. Please manage risks carefully and trade responsibly💛
