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🔱 The market is on a clear downward path within an organized channel, carefully respecting its borders until it reaches the 43,400 – 43,900 area. Here, no random bounce occurred…instead, the selling stopped and liquidity absorption began. What we are seeing now is not a complete bullish reversal, but rather a repositioning phase within a still weak structure.
The current price of 46,300 – 46,400 surrounds a very sensitive pivot area as it represents the equilibrium limit between the continuation of the decline or the onset of a turnaround. This area (45,750 – 46,400) is not a traditional support/resistance, but a structural decision point; sustained above this level means that the market is gradually starting to recover, while failure to break this level immediately resumes selling pressure.
Above this, we have a clear cap at 48,130, which is not just a supply level but the last line of defense for the downtrend. If the market doesn’t break out, every rise is just a redistribution into a larger decline. As for the bottom, the area between 44,600 – 43,400 represents a dense liquidity range and any return to this range would mean a true test of the market’s intentions.
The expectations here fall into two clear paths:
The first scenario is a corrective decline to 45,000 – 44,600, perhaps extending to 43,900 as a final liquidity withdrawal, from where the real move up begins as the market needs to reload positions before a true breakout. The second scenario is a continuation of the current rise and a steady move above 48,130 points, at which point the behavior switches from a rebound to an actual reversal with a target of 50,000 – 52,000 points (supply zone above).
The negative scenario is that it breaks through 43,400 points and stabilizes. This does not mean a pullback, but a direct continuation of the decline to 41,000, where the deeper demand zone lies.
The advice here depends on discipline: do not buy randomly from the current area, but buy from a retest of 45,000 – 44,600 with clear signs of rejection, or after a confirmed breakout of 48,130 points. Selling will be initiated only if there is a clear break below 46,400 points, targeting lower areas. Any trade taken within this range without a signal is entering pressure without an advantage.
The market won’t give you direction now…it tests your patience,
Either you wait for the decisive moment and go with it, or you get used before that balance shifts.
⚠️WARNING: Trading is high risk and may result in the loss of all funds. This is a private transaction quote and not general investment advice. This decision is solely your responsibility.
