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Gold prices are clearly trying to regain upward momentum after a sharp correction, benefiting from declining selling momentum and market expectations for U.S. non-farm payrolls data, unemployment rates and average wages, which were the main drivers of today’s move.
📍 The most important support and resistance areas (USD/Ounce)
🟢Main support:
4,886 – 4,875 → Current pivot support (market equilibrium area)
4,768 → Strong technical support (clear request area)
4,547 – 4,493 → Important strategic support for vision holders
4,420 – 4,400 → final defense zone in case of strong negative situations
🔴Main resistor:
5,036 – 5,045 → Nearby resistance and short-term trend transition
5,164 – 5,292 → Strong resistance (potential selling area)
5,531 – 5,553 → Historical Resistance/Previous Peak
Cracking it opens the way to 5,700+
📊 Short technical reading
Price is moving within a short-term ascending channel
Any stability above 4,886 will keep the positive case valid
A move above 4,768 would revive selling pressure and open the door to a deeper correction
🇺🇸 Gold scenario and US employment data
🟢 Positive scenario (weak data):
Fewer job opportunities than expected/high unemployment rate
Wage growth slows
➡️The US dollar is under pressure
➡️The rise of gold
🎯Goal:
5,045 → 5,164 → 5,292 → 5,531
🔴Negative Scenario (Power of Data):
Strong employment/low unemployment rate
average salary is high
➡️The dollar strengthens
➡️Gold is under pressure
🎯Goal:
4,886 → 4,768 → 4,547
Breakout could extend to 4,420
🧠 Important Tips for Traders
❗ Avoid entering the news immediately before it is released
✔️Wait for the market close to confirm the trend after the news is announced
🔒 Risk management is priority (minimize contracts – clear stop losses)
📉 It is better to trade with the trend after the news is announced than to seize the news
🪙Advice for physical gold holders
Any price drop towards 4,700 – 4,550 is an excellent accumulation opportunity
The overall trend of gold in the medium and long term remains bullish
Gold remains a safe haven amid economic and geopolitical tensions
🔔 Conclusion
Gold is at a critical crossroads today
📌 Stable above 4,886 to support continued rise
📌 Breaking through 4,768 opens up deeper adjustment scenarios
📊 The decision lies in the hands of US employment data