Strong rebound, then sharp profit-taking… gold enters a sensitive stage

🚨 Gold after Gap rises to 4550
A temporary peak or a regrouping ahead of a larger movement?
Analysis Included | Gold Dollar | December 29, 2025
📌Current market conditions

Gold prices opened with a strong bullish gap this morning

The price quickly surged to $4,550

This was followed by an apparent profit-taking operation.

The current price is close to $4,388

All of this happened before the New York session opened

➡️ This move clearly shows a short-term peak in a major uptrend.

🔍First: General technical reading (price action)

Overall Trend: Clearly Bullish

but:

The final sprint is fast and furious

It coincides with price reaching the upper Fibonacci resistance level

Price action suggests we are facing:

health correction

This is not a trend reversal

🔴Important resistance area
🔺 4550 – 4540

Morning rush hour

Psychological and artistic resistance

Cracking it requires:

America has strong momentum

There is a clear seal at the top

🔺 4485 – 4500

approaching resistance

Any rally without a breakout is likely to fail

🔺 4600 – 4700 (maximum resistance)

Fibonacci Extension 2.618 – 3.618

Unlikely today

🟢Basic support areas
1️⃣ 4380 – 4350

Currently supported

balance zone before new york

Holding above it = positivity

2️⃣ 4300 – 4270

Strong pivot support

You find:

Fibonacci 0.618

Retest previous fractures

A rebound is likely

3️⃣ 4218 – 4200

strategic support

Breaking it would only change the short-term outlook

4️⃣ 4120 – 4050

Support in the recent uptrend

unlikely to be reached today

🌊 Wave Interpretation (Elliott – Simplified)

Trends since early December show:

Strong driving wave (wave 5)

Peak at 4550:

This may be the end of the fifth sub-wave

What we see now:

ABC potential wave correction

in a larger uptrend

🎯 Target of wave correction:

Answer: 4350

B: 4450

Medium: 4280 – 4300

➡️This situation is very healthy and does not weaken the overall trend.

🇺🇸 Today’s New York session forecast
🔹The most likely (strongest) scenario:

Volatility+Correction

position:

4350

then try to bounce

🔹Alternatives:

Stable above 4380

Technical rebound to 4480

and then fluctuate occasionally

❌It is unlikely to directly and stably break through 4550 today

📆 Ending expectations at the end of 2025

Just the price:

Top 4200

and the top of the ascending channel
➡️Annual trends remain very positive

🎯 Weighted close range:
Between 4300 and 4450

and:

make profit

Reduce positions

Repositioning by 2026

⚠️Important Tips for Traders

✅ Don’t chase peaks
✅ Waiting for support area
✅ Reduce leverage
✅ Set stop loss
❌ Avoid buying during peak hours
❌Don’t enter with full liquidity

Today’s market is a professional market…there is no room for emotion.

✍️Conclusion

What happened this morning was peak time,
What we are seeing now is a natural correction within a strong uptrend.

The best opportunity is yet to come…
Patience is a wise decision.