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Gold prices continue to trade on a constructive tone after regaining the 4,700 area, with the latest price action suggesting buyers are still trying to maintain control in the short term. The recent gains were enough to change the trend, but the next step depends on whether gold prices can stay above newly established support levels and continue higher.
basic background
The overall tone remains supportive of gold.
It’s worth noting that gold and U.S. stocks are rising together, which tells us that the market is currently driven more by liquidity conditions and new risk activities rather than a simple defensive rotation. Gold prices rose above $4,700 an ounce, suggesting buyers are still willing to maintain their exposure despite a strong recovery in equity markets.
This type of environment typically produces more complex gold structures. On the one hand, stronger sentiment is good for risk assets and can reduce demand for safe-haven assets. On the other hand, gold’s stability against this backdrop suggests underlying demand remains strong and buyers remain willing to view dips as opportunities.
So far, this keeps the tone closer to constructive than weak.
M30 technical structure
Overall structure
On the M30 chart, USD XO has rebounded strongly from a lower base and is now consolidating above the final exit zone. The market is no longer in a weak bearish structure. Instead, the price stayed near the top of the trading range, which usually indicates buyers are still defending momentum rather than outright taking profits.
The key point here is that gold does not collapse after a rally. It was stopped near the highs and the bullish structure remains intact so far.
4,670–4,680: Current resolution area
Price is currently reacting around 4,670-4,680, which is an immediate decision-making area on the chart.
This area is important because it is located around current market prices and reflects whether buyers will be able to maintain the stability of the near-term exit structure. If prices continue to hold this area, gold prices may have room to rise after a brief period of consolidation.
4,600: First support zone
The first level that buyers need to protect is around 4,600.
This is the closest support level on the chart and the first area where the current bullish leg will be tested if the price pulls back. As long as gold prices remain above this area, the short-term structure remains constructive and favors another attempt at recovery.
4,720–4,760: Major Resistance Zone
On the upside, the nearest resistance level is still around 4,720-4,760 points.
This is the main amount of supply that prices need to challenge if buyers want to extend the rally. A clear breakout of this area would strengthen the bullish case and confirm that the market is ready for another rally.
4,498: Deeper support
If the market loses short-term support, deeper support is near 4,498.
This is the strongest downside signal on the chart and will be the most important if the current pullback is deeper than expected. A return to this area would weaken the current bullish structure, but it would still be the first major area where buyers are likely to react again.
What does demand flow indicate?
Current order flow suggests buyers still have the advantage in the short term.
So, so far:
Prices are converging near highs rather than retracing sharply
The 4600 area is the first level that buyers need to defend
A stronger move above 4,720-4,760 could open the way for a broader sustained move higher
This keeps the structure constructive even if the market needs a brief pause before making its next move.
Trading scenario
Scenario 1: Support holds and price continues to rise
If gold prices continue to hold above 4600, the current structure may remain bullish and could push gold prices back to the overhead resistance zone.
Entry point: Around 4,600–4,620 on bullish confirmation
SL: down 4,560
TP1: 4,720
TP2: 4,760
TP3: Higher resistance if momentum builds
Scenario 2: Resistance rejection
If the price tests 4,720-4,760 but fails to break higher, the market may move back to support before deciding on its next move.
Entry point: Bearish rejection around 4,720-4,760
SL: Above the top of rejection
TP1: 4,680
TP2: 4,600
Scenario 3: Further decline
If gold prices decisively fall below 4600, the decline may extend to deeper support areas.
Entry: Confirmed weakness below 4,600
SL: Above breakout support level
TP1: 4,540
TP2: 4,498
Key levels worth paying attention to
4,670–4,680 → current resolution area
4,600 → first support
4,720–4,760 → Main Resistance Zone
4,498 → Deeper support
in conclusion
Gold remains constructive while remaining supportive, with prices holding above 4,700 after recent gains, indicating buyers remain active. The next step is clear: if gold can continue to hold 4,600 and break above 4,720-4,760, the bullish structure may continue to expand.
Lana’s view: Gold remains positive in the short term, but the market needs a clearer break through resistance to confirm the next move higher.