🔍 Today’s XAUUSD Gold Analysis – Thursday, December 18, 2025

Will gold continue to rise or see a correction following US CPI inflation data?

Gold has rebounded strongly in recent trading days, successfully recovering all of its previous losses, once again confirming that any decline will still be subject to clear buying demand. The current trend shows that gold is in a medium-term upward trend, and the market is waiting for the natural fluctuations in the US CPI data in November, which will have a direct impact on the US session.

📈Overall trends and price action

4-hour time frame overall trend: Bullish

Price lows keep rising

Price remains trading above key demand area

The current move represents consolidation below important resistance levels and is not a sign of weakness

Stability above the 4185 – 4220 area reinforces the positive outlook and confirms that any current decline is merely a correction within the uptrend.

🟢 Potential buying area
Zone 1 – Corrective Purchases:

4250 – 4220

Strong horizontal support

Convergence with Fibonacci levels 0.382 – 0.236

Suitable for daily trading and speculative trading

Zone 2 – Strong Buy:

4185 – 4165

Clear demand areas on the chart

Applicable to volatility contracts

Zone 3 – Investment Purchase/Viscal:

4040 – 4000

long-term structural support

Only a breakout of this zone can change the positive outlook

🔴Sell and take profit areas (sell/take profit areas)

4347 → Nearby resistance and current peaks

4447 – 4456 → Fibonacci extension 1.618

4488 – 4503 → Strong historical resistance

As long as the price is above major support areas, it is better to take profits rather than sell outright.

🎯 Expected target if it continues to rise

If there is a clear breakout and greater stability 4347:

First target: 4447

Second target: 4488

Third Target (Extended): 4503 – 4600 After

If economic data supports gold, reaching the 4,500 level by the end of the year remains a strong prospect.

📉Alternative (possible correction)

If CPI data is higher than expected:

Breaking 4250 → falling towards 4220

Broken 4185 → Visited 4120

Just a break above 4040 = structural change in trend

As long as the price is above 4185, an upward trend is still possible.

📊The impact of today’s US CPI data

Data falls short of expectations: The U.S. dollar is weak, gold prices are rising faster, and resistance is easily broken

Higher-than-expected data: Temporary selling pressure and healthy correction create new buying opportunities

It is best to avoid entering the market before news is released and wait for the trend to stabilize after the news is released.

⏰ What to expect during the American period

high volatility

Fast move and stop loss testing

The best opportunity occurs 15-30 minutes after the data is released

💡 Important Tips for Traders and Physical Gold Holders

Don’t chase price peaks

Capital management is crucial

Split trading is better than full entry

Viscal gold holders: Holding is still the best option

Megatrends support continued repricing of gold over the medium term

🟡Conclusion

As long as the price of gold remains above the 4185 area, its trend is still obviously positive.
Any dip in price represents an opportunity rather than a threat, and a break above current resistance could lead to new all-time levels in the coming weeks.

This analysis is purely technical and not direct advice, risk management is the responsibility of each trader.

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