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Gold target price for Thursday: above $5,200
Stop loss orders are extremely important when trading gold; without early warning, they are difficult to implement effectively.
The U.S. jobs report released by ADP on Wednesday showed that 63,000 new jobs were created in February, exceeding market expectations of 50,000 jobs and well above the revised 11,000 jobs figure in January.
The market expects that the cumulative interest rate cuts by the end of the year will drop to around 50 basis points, a significant reduction from previous expectations.
This puts direct pressure on gold, which does not earn interest.
The situation in the Middle East: The war has entered its fifth day; safe-haven demand continues to support gold prices, limiting the possibility of a sharp correction in gold prices.
Dubai’s suspension of gold air transportation directly affects about 20% of the world’s gold supply, resulting in a significant reduction in the physical supply of gold.
Current technical analysis:
Strong resistance level: 5250-5300
First resistance level: 5200
Second resistance level: 5220-5240
First support level: 5100
Main support area: 5050-5080
Strong support level: 5000
Buy on dips (conservative strategy)
Access area: Range 5100-5120
Add a position: If the price continues to fall to the 5050-5080 range, it is recommended that you add a position.
Stop loss order: Set a stop loss order below 5020.
Target price:
First target price: 5180-5200
Second target price: 5220-5250
Third target price: 5300
Friday’s non-farm payrolls forecast: The market expects only 60,000 new non-farm jobs to be added in February (previous forecast was 130,000). Weak data could lead to a reversal of the current downward trend.
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