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As expected, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged.
Powell remains data-driven and avoids an aggressive hawkish turn.
The market sees no urgency for further tightening and real yields are subdued.
Result: USD hesitant → Gold volatility widens, but trend remains unchanged.
This isn’t “buying news” – it’s a flow that responds to policy clarity.
📊 Technical structure (H1–H4 context)
There is a clear upward trend change before the FOMC → the trend is established.
Post-FOMC stimulus pushed prices into the ATH zone, followed by a healthy correction.
Confirm that the top and bottom have not changed → the structure is still an upward continuation, not a distribution.
Prices correct within the trend, not in the opposite direction.
🔑 Main monitoring area
ATH/Price Response: ~5560
FVG 1 (shallow correction): ~5436
FVG 2 (Deeper Rebalance): ~5353
These are reaction zones, not FOMO levels.
🧠 Scenario (if – then)
Basic Scenario – Continuity (≈70%)
If the price holds above 5436, it is expected to continue making new highs after rebalancing.
Alternative – deeper correction (~30%)
If 5436 fails, price may rebalance to 5353 FVG.
Only a clear close of H1 below 5353 will weaken the bullish bias.
✅ Summary
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) creates volatility, not a change in trend.
Gold respects structure, absorbs liquidity, and prepares itself for what’s next.
Trade reactions, not headlines.
Buy patches. Respect the structure. Let the price be confirmed.