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✅ 4-hour frame trend analysis:
On the four-hour chart, gold remains within a longer-term bearish trend. But after a sharp decline, the market began to enter a low-volatility callback phase.
On the four-hour chart, gold remains within a longer-term bearish trend. But after a sharp decline, the market began to enter a low-volatility callback phase.
Previously, the price broke through important levels such as 4663, 4570, and 4405, and reached a low near 4099, indicating strong selling momentum. This was followed by a strong bullish candle that quickly brought the price back to the 4400 zone and the price is currently moving within a horizontal range between 4400 and 4425.
Structurally, the overall trend is still bearish, but in the short term the market has shifted from “one-way sharp decline” to “post-fall correction.” The price has yet to stabilize above the MA10 and MA20 moving averages, which means the rebound has not changed the downtrend structure on the 4-hour frame.
✅ Hourly frame (1H) trend analysis:
On the hourly chart, the short-term structure is more clearly shown as a bearish stop phase followed by a rebound.
After the price reached 4099, there was a clear rebound and then continued to rise to around 4500, which indicated that the random selling phase was temporarily over. After that, the price did not hit a new low, but began to fluctuate in the range of 4350-4450, which shows that the market is digesting the previous fluctuations.
Therefore, the hourly chart structure can currently be understood as a short-term pullback and stabilization rather than the beginning of a clear upward trend.
🔴Resistance levels
● 4425 – 4450 (first resistance zone)
● 4470 – 4530 (strong pullback resistance zone)
● 4564 – 4636 (main structural resistance zone)
🟢 Support level
● 4350 – 4310 (currently nearby supported areas)
● 4254 – 4200 (important support area on retest)
● 4156 – 4100 (lower main support area)
✅ Trading strategies
🔰 Sales Strategy (Key Trend: Bounce Sales)
👉 Entry point: around 4450 – 4470 (sell on rebound)
🎯 Target: 4405 / 4375 / 4312
📍Logic: The overall trend of the 4-hour frame is still bearish. Although the hourly chart frame has entered the correction stage, there has been no real reversal. If the price fails to break through the resistance, it may fall again.
🔰 Buying strategy (only for short-term rebound)
👉 Entry point: around 4350 – 4405 (buy a small amount during callbacks)
🎯 Target: 4450 / 4470 / 4529
📍Logic: The table frame shows signs of stability. If support holds, the technical rebound may continue. But this transaction is against the general trend, so the transaction size must be controlled.
⚠️Trend summary
👉 The 4-hour frame shows that the general trend is still bearish, but the short-term trend has entered the callback stage.
👉 The hourly chart frame shows that the decline has stopped and the market has entered a volatile phase.
👉If the price stabilizes above 4450, the rebound may extend to 4470 – 4529.
👉If the price breaks the 4529 level and stabilizes above it, the structure will improve significantly and the rise may extend towards 4564 – 4570.
👉If the price returns and breaks the support area 4375 – 4405, it will signal the end of the current correction and the market may return to weakness and test the 4312 or even 4100 levels.
