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✅ Structural analysis of 4 hour frame
Judging from the four-hour chart, the price has fallen below MA10 and MA20, and is currently in the callback stage towards the MA30/Bollinger Bands midline area (near 4900-4950). This shows that the momentum of the previous unilateral rebound has obviously weakened.
The 4900-4870 area is an important structural support area on the 4-hour frame and was also the main rally area during the last rebound. A decisive break above this level could push the structure into a deeper correction.
📌 4 hours review:
This is not a strong uptrend, but a correction phase after a rebound. As long as the 4870 mark is not effectively broken through, the overall structure is still in the consolidation range within the upward trend, rather than a trend reversal.
✅ Structural analysis of the one-hour frame
On the hourly chart, the price fell through consecutive bearish candles after forming a short-term top near 5090. The short-term moving averages (MA5/MA10) are clearly showing a downward trend.
The 4870-4900 area shows a long lower shadow and a pullback attempt, suggesting there is real buying demand at this level.
If the price fails to quickly recover MA20 (near 4980), the hourly structure may continue a weak consolidation pattern → retest support.
📌 One hour summary:
The market is currently at the tail end of a corrective wave and is in the trend-setting phase, where incoming momentum needs to be determined through confirmation of support areas or through rebound structures.
🔴Resistance Zone
• 4980–5020 (MA20 on baffle + rebound pressure)
• 5070–5100 (early high and 4-hour structural resistance)
🟢 Support areas
• 4900–4870 (major structural supports)
• 4800–4750 (4-hour modified defensive zone)
✅ Trading strategy reference
The main focus is to buy from the declining areas and sell small amounts at the highs. You should trade according to the price structure and avoid chasing the ups and downs.
🔰 Buying Strategy (Buy after Correction)
👉Admission area: 4870-4900, admission is gradually divided
🎯 Target 1: 4980
🎯Target 2: 5070
🎯Stretch goal: 5150
📍Logic:
This area corresponds to the middle of the 4-hour range and was also the previous assembly area. As long as there is no effective breakthrough in the 4-hour frame, there is still room for the bull structure to recover and rebound again.
🔰 Sales strategy (sell lightly on rebound)
👉Entrance area: 5020–5050
🎯Target 1: 4950
🎯 Target 2: 4880
📍Logic:
This is a technical selling transaction within the trend and is only suitable for hedging or short-term trading. It is not suitable for large positions or long positions.
✅ Risk management reminder
👉 This is not a major downtrend – sell trades should be light and fast
👉If the 4-hour frame breaks 4870 decisively, the trend structure should be re-evaluated
👉If the price returns to the 5000 level and remains above it, it means the correction is over and buyers are back in control
👉 During the volatility phase, the order of priority is: Rhythm > Trend > Trade Size
💞 The market will always be there…but your capital may not be there.
