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✅ Four-hour frame (4H) trend analysis
1️⃣The rebound high point is lower and the upward momentum is weak
The high fell back from 4264.62→4241.55→4230, indicating repeated rejection from above and forming an early bearish structure at the top.
2️⃣The middle line of Bollinger Band is strong resistance
The current rebound is limited to around the midline of 4227
➡️The continued failure to break through means that the moving average trend is still in the horizontal range
3️⃣ Moving averages point to weak recovery
MA5 and MA10 are trending upward but MA20 is flat
➡️This indicates a bounce = correction, not a reversal
If the price does not break above 4241-4245, buyers will not regain strong upward momentum.
✅ Trend analysis of one hour (1H) frame
1️⃣ Continuously closed below 4227, with a long upper shadow line
➡ High-level buyers take profits
➡ Obvious selling pressure from above
2️⃣Short-term moving average convergence
MA5/MA10/MA20 are coming together
➡ Momentum is weak → entering occasional volatility
3️⃣ Bollinger Bands Horizontal Channel Trend
Price fails to move along the upper boundary → the move can easily turn into a downward correction
🔴Resistance levels
4227–4230 / 4240–4245
🟢 Support level
4205–4208 / 4185–4180
✅ Trading strategy reference
🔰 Main strategy: Sell on rebound
📍Immigration area: 4230–4225
🎯 Target: 4210 / 4195 / 4185
⛔ Stop loss: up to 4235
🔰Secondary Strategy: Buy on dips
📍If the price remains at 4205-4208, you can place a small amount of buying
🎯 Target: 4220 / 4227
⛔ Stop loss: minimum 4198
📌 Trend summary
1️⃣If the price breaks the 4205 level and sales increase →
Lower target: 4188/4163
2️⃣ If the price stabilizes above 4227 and buying volume is strong →
Buyers will regain control → Target 4245+
🎯 Main focus: Monitor the stability of the support area 4205–4208
🔥 Trading Alert: Trading strategies are time-sensitive and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your plan according to current market trends.
