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Can the United States break China’s monopoly on rare earth metals?


Can the United States break China’s monopoly on rare earth metals?



United States Rare Earths (NASDAQ: USAR) is at the center of America’s boldest industrial ambitions in decades. The company is pursuing a comprehensive “mine to magnet” strategy aimed at breaking China’s control of rare earth elements, key materials used in products ranging from electric vehicles to F-35 fighter jets. With China controlling 70% of the world’s mining industry and more than 90% of its refining capacity, the United States faces strategic vulnerabilities that threaten its defense capabilities and energy transition. China’s recent restrictions on gallium and germanium exports have accelerated the company’s production schedule, with commercial production currently targeted for the end of 2028.

The company’s success depends on strong government support and huge capital injections. A $1.6 billion letter of intent from the U.S. Department of Commerce, plus $1.5 billion in private investment, provides $3.1 billion in potential financing. The government will hold a 10% ownership stake, marking an unprecedented public-private partnership in critical infrastructure. The funding supports the entire value chain: mining of the Dome deposit in Texas, chemical separations in Colorado, and advanced magnet manufacturing in Oklahoma. The Dome Mine is geologically unique in that it contains 15 of 17 rare elements.

Beyond mining, the project is a test of the resilience of U.S. industry. The Trump administration’s “Project Vault” initiative established a $12 billion strategic mineral reserve. The international alliance with Australia, Japan and the UK creates a network of “friendly” supply chains aimed at countering Beijing’s influence. The company’s acquisition of UK rare metals also provides significant refining expertise currently unavailable outside China. In January 2026, the company achieved the milestone of producing the first batch of neodymium magnets at its Oklahoma factory, proving its technological capabilities.

A risky path remains, with critics pointing to date delays and insider selling of shares. Short sellers claim 75% downside potential, questioning the device’s age and promotional strategy. However, the strategic imperative is undeniable: The United States cannot maintain its technological advantage without domestic rare earth production capacity. The company’s goal of processing 8,000 tons of heavy dust per year by 2030 will reshape global supply chains and determine whether the United States regains industrial supremacy.



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