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Brian XAUUSD – Gold Supply Squeezed – A radical breakout changed the entire trend.
The U.S. dollar index (DXY) returned above 100 for the first time since November, a shift that puts a clear cap on gold. When USD strength returns, XAUUSD rallies are often difficult to sustain and are more likely to sell at bid/value unless price shows strong acceptance.
Artistic images using dimension files (2 hours)
Price is in a rebalancing phase, cycling between upper supply limits and lower value support limits. The clean edge here is the transaction area of the file, not the middle of the range.
key levels on chart
Sales area 5171-5168
Main display area. Any move into this space is expected to be met with stronger selling pressure, especially if the U.S. Dollar Index remains stable.
VAL sales area 5137
Limit the first decision. If the price fails to recover and trade above 5137, the advance will remain corrective and the market could easily fall into a downward spiral.
Short-term buying area (VAL) 4961-4964
The main reaction zones are as follows. If prices move lower, this is the area most likely to see absorption first.
Trading scenario
Scenario 1: Jump to 5137, then drop
If price tests 5137 and lacks stability, expect prices to move back to 4961-4964 as the market rebalances.
Scenario 2: Breakout and acceptance above 5137
If price breaks above 5137 and settles solidly (ideally a test of resumption of stability), the next upside target would be 5171-5168 to test supply.
Scenario 3: Supply response of 5171-5168
If price reaches 5171-5168 and shows clear rejection, another pullback to 5137 is expected, and if 5137 fails again, there is a risk of a deeper rotation.
Risk Scenario: Breakout of the Buy Zone
If the market loses its structure and falls, 4961-4964 becomes the main absorption area. Failure to hold this level increases the risk of a downside move.
generalize
As DXY moves back to 100, the trend remains “sell” until gold returns to 5137 and remains stable. Today’s main line chart is very simple: 5137 is the decision-making limit, 5168-5171 is the main selling area, and 4961-4964 is the buying reaction area.
Follow Brian’s channel for clean XAUUSD levels and scenarios based on volume profiles.
