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A series of strong news may push gold prices to retest 4300


🟡 XAU/USD – Weekly Trading Plan (November 23-29)

SMC – FVG – Supply/Demand – High Impact News Weekly

1. Market background

Gold is moving sideways in the H4 assembly structure, forming gradually higher lows in line with the trend line.

Above it there are 3 important display levels:

Old FVG 1

Old FVG 2

Large FVG 4220–4300

Price needs to clear liquidity and reach supply zones before establishing a new trend.

2. List of major news this week

This week has been filled with dollar news that directly affects gold:

Tuesday(11/25)

Core PPI – Retail Sales – PPI (4 consecutive red news) → Volatile.

Wednesday(11/26)

Unemployment Benefit Application

Durable goods → Basic durable goods

GDP q/q – GDP price index

Core PCE (the most important inflation news of the week)

➡️ This day determines the trend for the rest of the week.

Friday(11/28)

German CPI (indirect impact on Euro → USD)

🎯News conclusion:

→ Gold can make the wrong move – clearing out liquidity ahead of the right move.

→ Will continue to target SL weak areas.

3. Key levels (from the chart you sent)

🔻Sales Area (Display-FVG)

4189 – 4191 (main sales)

Level: 4195

This is this week’s highly interactive area.

4132 – 4134 (selling scalp)

Level: 4138

🔵 Buy Zone (Demand – Trendline – SMC)

4906 – 4904 (Major Scalp Buy Area on the Chart)

Level: 3999

→ This is the only area of ​​the chart that is clearly identified as Buy.

Psychological level: 4000 – 3985

If the price falls → react strongly and form a bottom for the week.

4. Weekly trading scenarios

🅰️Scenario 1 – Price rebounds to pre-drop supply area (most likely)

Price expected to retest 4132–4134 → 4189–4191

After reaching 4190± → may appear:

BOS H1/H4 Bearish

Strong reversal to 4050 – 4000

🔻Sales plan

4132–4134 (Scalp) SL 4138 Sold

Main sales 4189–4191 SL 4195

Target price:

TP1:4090

TP2:4050

TP3:4000

🅱️Scenario 2 – Price falls before news, then rises strongly (kills liquidity)

If gold is pushed lower ahead of the PPI/GDP news:

Best buying area: 4000 – 3985

Form a bottom → bounce back to test supply.

🔵 Purchase plan

Buy 4000–3985

Level: 3975

TP:

4050

4100

4130

🅾️Scenario 3 – If 4200 breaks down

If 4200 is broken by a H4 candle with a large body:

➡️Gold is likely to rise and test the big FVG 4250-4300

→ In this case, wait for the rebound to buy and do not sell again.



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