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In terms of fundamentals, the Fed’s dovish expectations support further declines in gold prices – but during the day, based on MMF flows, there are clearly two scenarios.
📊 Technical Vision (MMF Process – H1)
🔸 OBS Sales Area: 4,236
• Strong reaction when touching for the first time → Confirm the display area
• Downtrend converges here → Possibility of liquidity trap
🔸 OBS Buy Zone: 4,197
• First important area of need
• Compatible channel support → strong rebound potential
🔸 Seller Liquidity: 4,181
• If liquidity is swept away → ideal area for reversal
🔸 High selling area: 4,284
• If gold expands to the upside → this is an allocation zone or a short correction
🎯 Two main scenes – MMF
Scenario 1 – Interactive sell with trend → buy
• 4,236 retests
• Bearish reaction → decline towards 4.197 – 4.181
• A reversal signal occurs
• Target: 4,236 → 4,284
➡️Based on today’s liquidity, this is the cleanest scenario.
Scenario 2 – Immediate strong rise
• Penetration and closing price both above 4,236
• Retest
• Expands to 4,284
➡️Requires high purchasing power – no confirmation, no entry required.
🧭Daily Miles MMF
• Bullish as long as price is above 4,197
• Neutral → Bearish only on close below 4,181
Markets are preparing for a breakout – let liquidity dictate the direction.
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