Historic rise or tactical collapse? Today’s golden moment

🔥 Today’s Gold Analysis December 10, 2025 — Before the Fed meeting and Jerome Powell’s speech

Today… gold is at one of its most dangerous moments in weeks. The move is narrowing, momentum is gathering, and the market is actually preparing for a price explosion that could completely change direction in the coming weeks.
Today, all eyes will be on the Federal Reserve meeting and Jerome Powell’s speech, which will be the main driver of gold prices during the US session.

The most important question now is: Are we witnessing a new bull market breakout heading towards highs of 4400? Or a sharp downward correction before a rebound?

🟦 Current technical status

Clearly visible on the drawing:

Gold trades within a narrow range between 4,187 – 4,221

Editing before the US event

Price remains above the main uptrend

The possibility of a strong bullish wave (5) remains

But… at the same time:

There are signs that the index could fall predatorily to 4,112 or even 4,040 before any rebound.

significance:
Markets are bracing for the unexpected — and the direction will only be decided after the Fed.

📉📈 Strongest scenario today (twice before news)
🔹Before news release

We expect a slow nervous move within the blue zone, with the possibility of a small corrective decline:

4,187

then 4,166

If liquidity increases on the downside, maybe it could reach 4,112

🔹After the news comes out (possible explosive rise)

Any less hawkish tone from the Fed or signs of slowing inflation could push gold prices directly towards:

4,251

4,320

Wave (5) bull target: 4,448 – 4,456

This area is the most dangerous, and if the price fails to break out of this area, it is a strong selling area.

🟩The most important buying area

4,187 – 4,166 → Average order

4,112 – 4,100 → Gold Order

4,040 → Major support and potential for a strong reversal

🟥The most important sales area

4,251 – 4,280

4,320 – 4,350

4,448 – 4,456 (possible fifth wave area)

⚠️ Today’s advice to speculators

Today is not a day to enter randomly…
Today is a risk management day, not an “all in” day.

Wait 10-15 minutes after Powell speaks

Let the trend be confirmed

Then go in with more confidence

For Golden Visa holders:

As long as the price is above 4,040, there is no real risk to the long-term uptrend.

🎯Conclusion

Gold is at a crossroads today…
Most likely scenario:
Small decline ahead of meeting → Strong rise to start if Fed eases tough measures.

Every action today is tied to a quote from Jerome Powell.