XAUUSD – Priority buy on Tuesday based on hack, monitor interactions.

🌤 Overview
Hello everyone, I’m Lana 💬
After experiencing pressure within a triangle pattern for a few days, gold broke out of the downtrend line in the first half, regained liquidity around the FVG zone and continued to hold price above the breakout zone. This suggests that capital flows are favorable for a short-term bullish scenario targeting the upper zone of the Fibonacci expansion.

Today the market is waiting for a series of important data: CPI, PPI, retail sales… – these numbers can cause strong fluctuations, especially when gold is in a “crowded trade” state. If U.S. consumer data improves, prices could see a deep correction as liquidity clears.

💹Technical analysis (from an ICT perspective)

On H1, price may: Break above the downtrend line of the accumulation triangle.
FVG retested the +liquidity buyback area around 4.101-4.105 and rose again.
The 4.133-4.135 area is now resistance, which has been broken and turned into support – suitable for a buy-on-the-dip strategy.

Technical Target: The current rising 1.618 Fibonacci extension is located near the 4.16xx area,
The Fibonacci 2.618+ expansion is a large liquid area above the 4.23xx-4.24xx area, coinciding with the old top – a strong reaction from sellers is likely.
Overall, the short-term bullish structure remains in place as long as prices remain in the 4.10-4.11 area.

🎯 Reference Trading Plan (Reference Plan)

💖 Buying Scenarios – Prioritized by Trend
Buy based on breakout – current price area
Entries: 4.130–4.133
Stop loss: 4.125
Take Profit: 4.150 → 4.175 → 4.198 → 4.230

Buy after a deeper retest
Entries: 4.100–4.103
Stop loss: 4.095 (you may consider a tighter stop loss instead of 3.995 to improve R:R)
Take Profit: 4.125 → 4.150 → 4.175 → 4.198

💢 Sell Scenario – Just a short-term reaction to resistance levels
Price: 4.167–4.169
Stop loss: 4.175
Take Profit: 4.150 → 4.133 → 4.110 → 3.990
This sell order is only suitable for quick counter-trend trades, preferably taking profits quickly when reaching the nearby target price area.

⚠️Important Tips
With CPI, PPI, retail sales and other US data today – spreads could widen and prices could move in either direction.
Gold is a crowded trade, so it’s easy for a deep pullback to eliminate weak positions after a sharp move higher.

Reasonable strategy: Prioritize buying based on the trend in the determined support area.
Reduce volume before news releases and don’t be tempted to hold during important data releases.
Sales should be viewed as short-term, fast-in, fast-out orders.

🌷 5. Conclusion and interaction – with LanaM2
In short, as long as gold prices remain in the 4.10-4.11 area, the triangle breakout in the first half of the year will support gold prices to continue to rise to the Fibo 1.618-2.618 area 💛
Today the focus is on finding good buying points rather than chasing prices, and be especially careful when releasing CPI and PPI data.

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