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Dorchester Center, MA 02124

SMC – FVG – Supply/Demand – High Impact News Weekly
1. Market background
Gold is moving sideways in the H4 assembly structure, forming gradually higher lows in line with the trend line.
Above it there are 3 important display levels:
Old FVG 1
Old FVG 2
Large FVG 4220–4300
Price needs to clear liquidity and reach supply zones before establishing a new trend.
2. List of major news this week
This week has been filled with dollar news that directly affects gold:
Tuesday(11/25)
Core PPI – Retail Sales – PPI (4 consecutive red news) → Volatile.
Wednesday(11/26)
Unemployment Benefit Application
Durable goods → Basic durable goods
GDP q/q – GDP price index
Core PCE (the most important inflation news of the week)
➡️ This day determines the trend for the rest of the week.
Friday(11/28)
German CPI (indirect impact on Euro → USD)
🎯News conclusion:
→ Gold can make the wrong move – clearing out liquidity ahead of the right move.
→ Will continue to target SL weak areas.
3. Key levels (from the chart you sent)
🔻Sales Area (Display-FVG)
4189 – 4191 (main sales)
Level: 4195
This is this week’s highly interactive area.
4132 – 4134 (selling scalp)
Level: 4138
🔵 Buy Zone (Demand – Trendline – SMC)
4906 – 4904 (Major Scalp Buy Area on the Chart)
Level: 3999
→ This is the only area of the chart that is clearly identified as Buy.
Psychological level: 4000 – 3985
If the price falls → react strongly and form a bottom for the week.
4. Weekly trading scenarios
🅰️Scenario 1 – Price rebounds to pre-drop supply area (most likely)
Price expected to retest 4132–4134 → 4189–4191
After reaching 4190± → may appear:
BOS H1/H4 Bearish
Strong reversal to 4050 – 4000
🔻Sales plan
4132–4134 (Scalp) SL 4138 Sold
Main sales 4189–4191 SL 4195
Target price:
TP1:4090
TP2:4050
TP3:4000
🅱️Scenario 2 – Price falls before news, then rises strongly (kills liquidity)
If gold is pushed lower ahead of the PPI/GDP news:
Best buying area: 4000 – 3985
Form a bottom → bounce back to test supply.
🔵 Purchase plan
Buy 4000–3985
Level: 3975
TP:
4050
4100
4130
🅾️Scenario 3 – If 4200 breaks down
If 4200 is broken by a H4 candle with a large body:
➡️Gold is likely to rise and test the big FVG 4250-4300
→ In this case, wait for the rebound to buy and do not sell again.