Physical Address
304 North Cardinal St.
Dorchester Center, MA 02124
✅ Via 4 hour time frame (H4)
The price of gold rose strongly to 4101 (previous high + Bollinger Band upper limit + 20 moving average resistance), and then quickly fell back to the 4080 area, indicating that the selling pressure above is still strong.
1️⃣ Moving averages remain negative
MA5 and MA10 started to move slightly higher, but are still below MA20.
MA20 (near 4155) is a strong resistance level and the price is unable to break it, confirming that this rebound is only a weak correction and not a bullish reversal.
2️⃣ Bollinger Bands remain weak
The price is trading near the midline of the Bollinger Bands (around 4071), but has failed to break above the upper Bollinger Bands several times.
The Bollinger Bands have not expanded upward, indicating that the market is still in a weak shock structure.
3️⃣Clear rejection signal
A long upper tail has formed at 4101 – a classic “up then reversal” signal.
Sellers pressed hard at the resistance level, forming a short-term top.
📌 H4 summary:
The rebound has encountered strong resistance, and the market is still in a weak correction stage, with no real upward structure yet emerging.
✅ Within 1 hour time frame (H1)
Gold prices rose strongly from 4022→4101, but once again failed to break through key resistance.
1️⃣ High degree of damage at 4101 → the structure changes to oscillation
The price of gold quickly fell back to the 4080 area after hitting 4101, with weak upward momentum.
This level represents the previous high + the Bollinger Band upper track, which is a difficult level to break through.
2️⃣ The moving average continues to be under pressure
MA10/MA20/MA60 are still in a bearish arrangement, which means the H1 structure has not turned bullish yet.
While 4080 provides support, the retracement highs are lower, indicating weaker momentum.
3️⃣Short-term rebound momentum is still limited
The recent rebound only touched MA10 and did not break through the key level.
This confirms that this rise is only a weak adjustment and not a structural change.
📌 H1 Summary:
The bearish rally has subsided, the structure remains weak, and the price is unlikely to break through the strong resistance area of 4100-4110.
🔴Resistance levels
4100-4110 (strong resistance area: previous high point + moving average + upper Bollinger Band)
4132
4155
🟢 Support level
4075–4070
4044–4038
4022
3997
✅ If you want to get instant trading signals and professional guidance, you can join our membership.
We provide account risk management, contract size control, strategy adjustment and other comprehensive services to help you obtain stable and sustained profits in the market🤝
✅ Trading strategy advice (the most important today)
🔰Strategy 1: Sell on rebound (basic strategy)
If gold prices rise to 4095-4105 and face rejection:
✔️ Light sales entry
❌Stop loss: 4118 (exit immediately if it breaks through 4110)
🎯Target: 4075/4055/4040
👉Reason: 4100-4110 is a very strong resistance area, and the possibility of a breakthrough is very small.
🔰Strategy 2: Sell after failed breakout
If price artificially breaks above the 4110 level and then fails to hold the level:
✔️Enter direct selling
🎯 Same goal as before
⚠️The occurrence of a long upper tail is considered a strong bearish signal.
🔰Strategy 3: Sell on Breakout of Support (Trend Following)
If gold prices break through the 4038-4044 area:
✔️ Sell and enter on breakout
🎯Target: 4022/4008/3997
👉 This area is the boundary between upside and downside, if it is breached, sellers will completely take over the trend.
🔥 Important transaction reminder:
Trading strategies are time-limited and market conditions can change rapidly.
Please adjust your plan based on actual market movements.
