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🪙 Gold Geopolitical and Technical Analysis: Use the current rally to establish a strong sell position
📊 First: Basic Vision (Geopolitical Analysis)
Markets are currently witnessing a very big breakout following a flurry of official news and confirmed leaks that the United States and Iran are close to signing a 60-day extension to their peace deal, which includes a full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and no transit fees. So this means:
📊 First: Basic Vision (Geopolitical Analysis)
Markets are currently witnessing a very big breakout following a flurry of official news and confirmed leaks that the United States and Iran are close to signing a 60-day extension to their peace deal, which includes a full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and no transit fees. So this means:
The geopolitical “war and risk premium” supporting gold as a safe haven disappears.
A sudden upward gap at the open often acts as a “bull trap,” retesting resistance before a violent downward wave begins.
📉Second: Technical Scenarios and Retracement Areas
As shown on the chart, gold is moving along a temporary upward correction path (retest) towards areas of strong supply and the low volume node (LVN):
Reversal and Sell Target Area: Price is expected to rise to test the 4,585 level or extend as high as 4,605. From these levels we form the main sales areas.
Direct Entry: Only available to large account holders who can withstand a temporary reversal based on strong fundamental data.
🛡️Capital and transaction management (strictly recommended)
Entry point: Sell from 4,585 to 4,605 level (or enter directly for large account).
Stop Loss Order: Close above the 4,650 area (minimum risk, excellent insurance).
Preferred Contract Size: Due to the volatile opening this week, it is best to stick to a contract size of no more than 0.01 to maintain strict risk management.
🎯 Take profit target
Once the decline is confirmed and the price gap closes, we target the following levels as continuation targets:
First target: 4,540
Second target: 4,500
Long range targets (medium to long range): 4,400
⚠️WARNING: This analysis combines the price action of the chart with political news released in the past few hours. Please always adhere to risk management and do not overbuy. Good luck to everyone!