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Gold prices have remained under pressure for much of the week, with every recovery attempt below the broader downside structure failing. Kelly believes the current period of consolidation around 4,490-4,525 still looks more like a continuation of previous stops rather than a confirmed bullish move.
⟡ Market structure
Earlier this week, price rejected the upper trendline area before falling into a clear sell zone and liquidity zone for sellers. Buyers tried to stabilize the market, but gold prices failed to regain the main resistance area above 4,550-4,600.
➤ Critical level
◌ 4,550–4,600: Main recovery resistance
◌ 4,492: Short-term decision-making area
◌ 4,437: Sell-side liquidity support
◌ 4,354: Deeper support and potential reaction zone
⌁ Eliot’s point of view
The current trend suggests that gold prices may be forming the final part of a downward series. The final sideways move could be a minor corrective wave before continuing the decline.
▸ The next important thing is
If prices continue to hold below 4,550, sellers may retain control and take gold back to 4,437, and if momentum builds, it could reach 4,354.
A clear break above 4,600 is necessary to weaken the bearish structure and change the short-term outlook.
⌁ Kelly’s POV
This is still a recovery sell structure for Kelly. The market did not break out significantly, but it also did not regain resistance significantly.
The weekly message is clear: gold prices are stabilizing, but the broader structure remains favorable for downside risks, while resistance remains.
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