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📉 Technical Analysis

* Overall trend on the 4-hour frame: Bearish
*Break Price:
* Internal downtrend
* Multiple FVG areas
*First break the 4520 support level, then break the 4500 support level
* Bearish pulse candles showing significant selling acceleration → indicate sellers are in control.

The current price is:

* Strong demand area + lower channel boundary
*So we can see:
* Temporarily correct rebound
* Alternatively, if the 4-hour candle closes below 4440, the final breakout of the channel.

⸻

🌊 Elliott Wave Analysis

Most likely scenario:

* Bullish correction wave ends near 4760
* Market enters major bearish momentum wave:
1. The first wave of decline
2. The second wave of corrections
3. Wave 3 is currently extended

We often work at:

* The sub-ending of the third wave or the beginning of the fifth wave.

The current wave is characterized by:

* Powerful wounds
* Break through continuous support
* Price acceleration

⏰ Time Analysis

There is an important time sync for the current zone:

* The price has reached the end of the time period within the channel
*Often during the following periods:
* 1 to 3 candles in the next 4 hours
The true resolution will appear:
* Strong apostasy
* Or a new bearish outburst could occur.

If the price remains below 4500 for a period of time → give priority to selling.

⸻

🔢 Digital Analysis

Important number area:

* 4500 = key psychological number
* 4460 = strong digital support
* 4440 = Fatal Fracture Zone
* 4400 = upcoming numerical target
* 4350 = channel stretch target

If bouncing occurs:

*4520
*4560
*4620

Repositioning levels on behalf of sellers.

⸻

📊 Price Action

Price action is currently negative for the following reasons:

* Consecutive bearish candles
*Highs keep falling
* Weak bounce
* Price rejection for FVG area

but:
There is a lower tail near current support → a brief corrective bounce is possible before the downtrend continues.

⸻

🟩Demand area

Current areas of demand:

* 4440 – 4460

This is a very powerful area because:

* Bottom channel border
*Previous support
* Apostasy in history

Second level area:

* 4380 – 4400

⸻

🟥Supply area

First display area:

* 4495 – 4525

Main display area:

* 4560 – 4620

Very powerful display area:

* 4680 – 4720

⸻

📐Art model

have:

🔻 Smooth descent channel

The price is fully within its limits.

🔻 Bearish continuation

The bearish trend continues after a breakout of consolidation.

🔻Break of price structure

This is a strong negative signal.

⸻

🌊 Wave model

Most likely scenario:

* Pulse wave falling in the channel
*or model:
WXY continues bearish trend

Y can be extended to:

*4400
*Then 4350

⸻

📌 The scene that is about to happen

🟢 Positive scenes

If the price is fixed above: * 4450

We may see a rebound:

*4500
*4525
*4560

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🔴 Negative Scenario (The Strongest So Far)

If the 4-hour candle closes lower:

*4440

The goal becomes:

*4400
*4370
*4350

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