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What’s happening with the US500 goes beyond the traditional notion of an “uptrend.”
The market here is moving within a very organized ascending channel, as if each pullback is pre-calculated to reload liquidity before pushing price to higher levels.
The market here is moving within a very organized ascending channel, as if each pullback is pre-calculated to reload liquidity before pushing price to higher levels.
Notably, the index no longer reacts to selling pressure in the old way.
Each downside wave is quickly absorbed, and prices then return and make new highs without the need for a major move higher. This is typically market behavior controlled by stable institutional flows rather than random speculation.
The area between 7309 and 7178 has become the backbone of the current movement.
As long as price stabilizes above this area, the bullish structure remains in place and any pullback will become an in-trend repositioning and nothing more.
As for the vicinity of 7,500, it is not a traditional resistance level, but rather a gateway for the market to move from a “quiet rise” phase to a faster price expansion phase within the current channel.
A breakout of this area and a stay above it could push the index in the direction of:
7700
Then retest the nearby upper extension:
8000
Especially since the current structure still maintains the regularity of rising peaks and troughs without any real breakthroughs in behavior.
On the other hand, a breakout of 7178 and a hold below it would weaken the current structure and open the way for a retest of the nearby deeper equilibrium area:
6900
Then 6291
As for the loss of 6209, it means that the market has completely exited the current bullish structure and begun a broader repricing phase.
Current forecast:
The strongest case to date supports continued gradual gains within the current channel, especially if the sell-off continues to be absorbed and institutional momentum does not collapse.
But markets have become very sensitive to areas of liquidity, so any volatile quick breakout could turn into a temporary liquidity withdrawal before the trend is complete.
Suggestions – Special Deals
Buying preferences remain the same:
7309 – 7178
Also watch for stability above this area and continue to respect the current ascending channel.
Additional purchases can also be activated after a clear and stable breakout as mentioned above:
7500
Expected goals:
7700
8000
As for a break above 7178 and a hold below it, the bullish scenario would be postponed and open the way for further declines:
6900
6291
The US500 isn’t just running on “market optimism” logic right now…
Rather, it is part of a massive liquidity repositioning within one of the world’s most sensitive financial environments.
⚠️ Trading carries a high level of risk and may result in the loss of all funds. What is suggested here is analytical reading specific to the style
Mohammad Alkhwani
This is not direct financial advice. Decision-making, implementation and risk management are solely your responsibility.
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