Lilybelle_gl’s Strategy Analysis on the OANDA:XAUUSD Gold/USD Currency Pair — TradingView

Monetary Policy: Market expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve will move capital into safe, non-yielding assets.

Geopolitical climate: Ongoing global uncertainty and central bank gold accumulation continue to stimulate long-term demand.

Economic Indicators: Falling inflation data put downward pressure on the US dollar, providing a natural catalyst for higher gold prices.

technical analysis
Based on the market structure identified in image_7492b8.png:

Market Structural Shift (MSS): Price has successfully broken above previous short-term resistance, indicating a decisive shift from a downtrend to an uptrend.

Fair Value Gap (FVG): The imbalance emerging between 4573 and 4583 is an area of ​​high probability demand where prices are expected to find support before the next move higher.

Liquidity Target: The overhead liquidity pool between 4680-4690 acts as a “magnet” targeting early sellers’ stops.

key price levels
Key Support (lowest): 4510.589 (key cancellation level for uptrend).

Structural Pivot (MSS): The most recent breakout area where trend momentum has shifted.

Initial target (liquidity): 4680 – 4690.

Complete trading scenario
Basic strategy: Buy on retest

Arrival area: 4573 – 4583

Stop Loss: 4550 (safely placed below FVG and local structure)

Taking profits:

TP1: 4647 (retest of early highs)

TP2: 4685 (the ultimate goal of attracting liquidity)

Professional Vision:
This setup is highly dependent on successful retesting of FVG. Watch for bullish price action within the entry zone (such as spikes or surrounding candles) to confirm institutional buying interest before execution.