Bitcoin expected to challenge its confirmation rate in 2025

Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) peaked at $108,000 in December 2024. The bodysuit goes on sale next month (January 2025) for $109,000. This is the traditional end of a bull market.

The overall growth in 2025 is 69.38%. From the April lows to the October highs.

The increase from the peak price in December 2024 to the all-time high is equivalent to 16.47%. This is new progress for Bitcoin in 2025, which is not much by historical standards.

The 2025 rally failed to produce significant new highs compared to the late 2024 peak. Resistance has been confirmed, sellers are very strong and the lack of follow-through buyers has led to a strong pullback. This is the process we will witness from October 2025 (July?) to February 2026.

There is no need to look back.

This correction broke the April 2025 support level. This correction failed to break below the August 2024 low.

The subsequent recovery, the current trend that began after February 2026, is already significantly higher than the April 2025 lows. Confirmation will come after the end of the week, today, above $74,500.

Assuming the week closes above the above levels (which is very likely), we can say that the recovery is complete.

The duration and scale of this recovery rule out this move as a relief rally because it has gone on for too long. As the week comes to an end, we now enter a new market phase, an upcycle.

(Bitcoin) has never closed higher for four consecutive weeks during a bearish decline or during an easing rally. Four weeks in the green is always the start of long-term growth.

This means we are already immersed in a new bullish wave. The key level that this move should challenge is the last major resistance level, between $100,000 and $120,000. It doesn’t matter.

(Bitcoin) is going up.

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