🌍Economic background
● Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East escalated over the weekend.
● Market risk aversion has increased significantly.
● Risk premium pushed gold prices sharply higher.
📌 The main drivers of the current rally are: geopolitical risks and risk-averse capital flows.

✅ Trend analysis on 4-hour time frame
● The price breaks through the horizontal range strongly.
● The candle closed above the previous high of 5250 points.
● Moving averages have resumed bullish consensus.
● Bollinger Bands opens and the upper edge rises.
📌 Conclusion on 4 hour time frame:
The trend has shifted into a stronger phase and we have entered an event-driven uptrend.

✅ Trend analysis within 1 hour time frame
● Consecutive bullish candles with increasing volume.
● Peaks continue to form.
● Moving averages MA5/MA10/MA20 divergence upward.
● No significant correction occurred.
📌 Conclusion on 1 hour time frame:
The short-term trend structure is strong and momentum dominates the market.

🔴Resistance levels
● 5300–5320
● 5350–5380
● 5500–5600

🟢 Support level
● 5240–5250
● 5180–5200
● 5160–5140

✅ Trading strategy reference
🔰 Procurement strategy (main idea)
👉 Entry 1: 5240–5250
👉 Entry 2: 5180–5200
🎯Target 1: 5290
🎯 Target 2: 5320
🎯Extension: 5400
📍Logic: Correction confirmation after trend breakout.

🔰 Sales strategy (only if the structure is broken)
👉Condition: If the candle on the 4-hour time frame closes below 5250
🎯Target: 5200/5160
📍Logic: Consider reversal only if the breakthrough fails.

✅Risk control
👉As long as risk aversion does not drop significantly, the trend remains bullish.
👉 If risk aversion declines, volatility may increase.
👉If the 4-hour time frame closes below 5250 again, the market may shift into a short-term consolidation phase.
👉With the technical breakthrough confirmed and fundamental support, the short-term strategy is to look for corrective buys while monitoring the validity of trend confirmation at 5250 points.

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