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XAUUSD: Where will liquidity flow next?
Looking at the second half of the year, gold continues to maintain a short-term bullish structure, forming lower highs after each adjustment. The uptrend line remains intact, indicating that buyers are still in control of the main move.
However, as prices approach key resistance levels, the focus now shifts from simply asking whether the market will rise or fall, to determining where liquidity may be pulled from next.
What does the current structure tell us?
5,217 was previously resistance and is now being tested as a potential buy retest area. As long as the price remains above this zone, the bullish structure on the H2 framework remains intact, leaving room for further upside expansion.
On the downside, 5,145 is a key structural level. Any significant breakout and close below this area would indicate weak upward momentum and open the door to a deeper correction.
Below that level, 5,093 is a strong support area – a liquidity pool that could cause a significant market reaction if prices fall to this area.
SMC/ICT Perspective and Mobility Background
There is an important liquidity pool above current prices around 5,390 – 5,400. This area represents a potential supply zone and corresponds to the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
As long as the bullish structure remains intact, the market can continue to expand to the upside, removing liquidity above before any meaningful reaction can occur. Such areas often reveal the impact of institutional activities.
The key is to watch what happens when price reaches this consolidation area, rather than expecting a reversal too early.
possible situations
Continuous rise:
If the price stabilizes above 5,217 and continues to form a higher structure, the next higher target will be the 5,390 – 5,400 liquidity area.
Correct the scenario:
If CHoCH forms and price closes below 5,145, the short-term bullish structure will no longer be valid, which could lead to a pullback to the 5,093 support area before the next directional move emerges.
Overall, the second half trend remains bullish, but prices are now entering sensitive liquidity territory. These structural-level market responses will be more important than any fixed forecast.
If you are interested in market approaches based on structure and liquidity, please feel free to follow this channel to share and exchange ideas for upcoming analyses.
