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The market has been moving in a clear bearish structure since peaking around 1.2040:
Lower highs + lower lows + respect the downtrend line.
After a series of consecutive bearish moves, the price is currently located around 1.1770 – 1.1750 within the short-term demand zone.
We are facing a “test of intent” zone, not a confirmed reversal zone.
• A structural break below 1.1860 and then below 1.1825.
• There is clear selling control in the 1.1900 – 1.1950 area.
• Price is currently within a rebalancing zone around 1.1770.
• To date, there has been no upward structural breakout to confirm a reversal.
Overall trend: Bearish.
Current Trend: Attempting a corrective rebound within a selling pressure channel.
📌 Articulation area
🔴Leading display area:
1.1825 – 1.1865
Here the sell position is re-established.
🔵Support now:
1.1750 – 1.1735
🔷Deeper support (real resolution area):
1.1700 – 1.1670
🟢 In case of strong reflection:
1.1900 then 1.2000
🎯 Main scene (most likely)
Corrected rebound to 1.1820 – 1.1850
→ failed to penetrate
→ Resume landing
→ Target 1.1700
→ then 1.1650
The market isn’t going to reverse the trend with just a bit of demand…it needs a clear upward structural break above 1.1865.
⚠ ALTERNATIVE SCENES
Strongly above 1.1865
→ Breakout of the downtrend line
→ Extended to 1.1950
→ then 1.2040
This requires a real change in liquidity, not just a rebound.
💼 Recommended
🟢 Conditional purchase (indirect)
Best Entry:
1.1760 – 1.1740
Target:
TP1:1.1820
TP2: 1.1865
TP3: 1.1950
Stop loss:
A clear and stable move below 1.1700
📌 Continue conditions
Any stability above 1.1865
→ Short-term structure turns bullish
→ We target 1.1950 first, then 1.2040
As for falling below 1.1820, it is strongly rejected
→ Buying will remain speculative rather than directional.
❌Don’t buy mid-term before 1.1865 is broken.
risk management
• Do not risk more than 1-2%.
• Do not interfere with public buildings without reason.
• Transactions are entirely your responsibility.
• Selection of a broker is your own responsibility.
The euro is now in “bearish breathing” territory…
Selling remains a recognized trend until the opposite is proven by a clear breakout.
We’re not looking for the bottom…
We are looking for a control point. 🔱
