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✅ 4-hour frame (4H) trend analysis
● After rebounding from the low of 4402, the market has completed the first stage of recovery and has now entered a gradual upward consolidation stage.
● The price is currently back above MA10 and MA20 (around 4900 points), and the short-term moving average has begun to rise.
● The midline of the Bollinger Band indicator is rising, and the lower channel continues to rise, indicating that the market is shifting from a downward trend to a bullish recovery structure.
● The 4950-5000 point area above is a structural resistance area and also a resistance area with high early trading volume.
📌4 hours summary:
The market has moved out of bearish dominance and entered a bullish recovery phase. As long as the price does not fall below 4870, the trend remains bullish.
✅ Trend analysis of one hour (1H) frame
● On the hourly chart, the price has formed a continuous upward structure since the bottom of 4655.
● MA5/MA10/MA20 are in a bullish pattern, the Bollinger Bands are widening upward, and the short-term momentum is strong.
● The current price is approaching the resistance area 4950-4980, and a technical adjustment may occur.
● If the pullback remains above 4900, it will be considered a healthy pullback.
📌 1 hour summary:
The short-term upward trend is obvious, but considering that the price is close to the resistance level, it is not recommended to chase the increase.
🔴Resistance
● 4950-5000 (short-term resistance)
● 5070–5100 (high structure before 4H)
🟢Support
● 4900-4870 (short-term key support)
● 4760–4800 (defensive correction zone)
✅ Trading strategy reference
🔰 Buying Strategy (Buy on Correction)
👉Entry: 4890-4920, gradually build positions
🎯 Target 1: 4980
🎯Target 2: 5070
🎯Stretch goal: 5150
📍Logic: In a bullish recovery structure, a correction in the support area provides a low-risk entry opportunity.
🔰 Selling strategy (light selling at resistance level)
👉 Entry 1: 4980–5000, small size
👉 Visit 2: 5090–5100
🎯Target: 4920/4870
📍Logic: This is just a technical adjustment trade, not suitable for large positions.
✅Risk Management
● If there is a clear break below 4870 on the 4-hour chart, the bullish structure will be invalidated
● If the price stabilizes above 5,000, the selling idea will be invalid.
● At this stage, trading rhythm is more important than trend – avoid chasing highs or selling lows
