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XAUUSD Author: Wendy_Grace — TradingView


Golden Dollar | Smart Money Daily Plan – H1

Gold is trading in a strong bullish structure after a thoroughly expansionary first half and BOS. The price recently moved up to the 5,550-5,600 area where momentum is starting to slow down and the candles are showing hesitation. This usually indicates tops providing liquidity rather than new institutional buying.

From SMC’s perspective, the price is already deep in the top. The smart money will often use these conditions to allocate and rebalance before deciding to proceed. The chart shows a clear balance in the first half of the year (FVG) and the buy zone defined below, indicating that the downside mission is not yet complete before a sustained push higher.

Today’s hot macroeconomic driving factors

Gold remains highly sensitive to:
• Continued uncertainty about the path of federal interest rates and debate over the timing of rate cuts
• Mixed US data drives dollar volatility
• Continued geopolitical risks support safe-haven flows

These themes keep the bias on the longer time frames bullish, but daily flows are showing rotations and liquidity geometry rather than continuing in a straight line.

Market structure and liquidity

• Bullish H1 structure confirmed by BOS
• Liquidity near recent highs
• Clear FVG below current price
• Demand area determined to be around 5,302–5,300
• Logic: top allocation → opponent reload → probability of continuation

The smart money looks for efficient pricing, not emotional breakthroughs.

Main trading scenarios
🔴Best Selling Response (Short Term)

Area: 5,600–5,602
SL: 5,610

compatibility:
•Psychic level 5,600
• Previous liquidity target
• Momentum near peak slows

Expectation: Rejection here could push the price towards the FVG/Buy zone.

🟢 Discount purchase reaction (basic settings)

Area: 5,302–5,300
SL: 5,290

compatibility:
• Request H1 + previous structure
• Potential liquidity spillovers
• Ideal smart currency recharge area

Only buy after bullish confirmation on lower time frames.

🟢Continuous goals

Upside: 5,600 → 5,630 External Liquidity

Valid after a favorable reaction from the counterparty and a change in order flow.

Neutralize

Acceptance was high in the first half of the year, remaining above 5,610
→ Indicates direct continuation without deeper callbacks.

expectations and biases

• Not a FOMO environment
• Liquidity precedes trends
• Rejection = Churn
• Accept = Continue
• Execute > Forecast

Gold at decision points:
Will the price ease the balance in the first half and reach 5,300 with liquidity first, or will it stabilize above 5,600 and run out of liquidity?



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