US100 is between structural recovery and recoil trap – this decision is not an emotional one.

💡Technical analysis-Contrast school method:

After a sharp move from below, the price is currently trading around 25,546,
It then rebounded quickly and reached an area of ​​weak liquidity.

What we are seeing now is neither a complete rise nor a direct decline.
Rather, this is a testing phase: Is the rise real or just a corrective bounce?

🟦Demand areas:
1️⃣ The first demand area – operation (the most important):

25,450 – 25,380

Structural retest area

Stable and above = Ascension is still in effect

2️⃣ The second demand area – depth:

25,050 – 24,770

clear institutional needs

First breakout drives price recovery

There is a difference between a “correction” and a “failure to rise.”

3️⃣ Key areas of demand:

24,275 – 24,014

Breakout of this area = complete cancellation of the idea of ​​a move higher

Return to a mild downside scenario

🟧Display area:
🔶 Nearby performances:

25,565 – 25,715

areas of liquidity weakness

Previous hacks failed

A clear breakout is needed to confirm strength

🔶Highest quote (under penetration):

25,980 – 26,300

repricing zone

Do not target unless price remains above 25,565

📊 Expected scenario:
🟢 Positive scenario (conditional):

Price stabilizes above 25,380

Breaking through 25,565

position:

25,715

Then 25,980

Later expanded to 26,300

This situation confirms that the recent move is more than just a rebound.

🟡 Neutral scenes:

Temporarily exceeded 25,380

Fluctuates between 25,050 – 25,565

The closing price is not less than 25,050
→ The market is hesitant, do not enter impulsively.

🔴Negative Scenario (Real Risk):

The closing price was clearly below 25,050 points

Direct targeting:

24,770

Then 24,275

Here we close the buy and return to correct selling mentality.

The red arrow at the bottom is not a threat…
Rather, it serves as a reminder that Nasdaq has no mercy on those who arrive late.

📌Recommended – money-making style:

🔱Conditional purchase (not open):

From 25,450 – 25,380

Stop loss: 25,050

Target:

TP1: 25,565

TP2: 25,715

TP3: 25,980

🔱 You cannot purchase if it exceeds 25,050
🔱 Consider selling only after stably breaking through 24,770, not before.

✨ Control Academy Summary:

Nasdaq gave no clear signal…
Instead, it tests your discipline first.

Who knows where the risk lies?
He knew exactly when to enter with a bang and when to exit quietly.

Mohamed Alhelwani
Chief Market Strategist
Control Academy