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Confirm shoulder formation and reversal, but be careful around the control zone 💛
Market overview
Spot gold has exceeded $4,470 per ounce, reinforcing its strong performance after hitting new highs in 2025. The overall bullish trend remains, supported by trade war concerns, ongoing geopolitical instability, and loose monetary policies in major economies. Central banks continue to actively and continuously purchase gold, supporting the long-term prospects for gold until 2026.
Technical Vision-Shoulder and Back Shape
On the hourly chart, gold prices clearly form a shoulder and back structure:
Left shoulder: formed after the first sharp drop
Head: Deeper liquidity pulls and strong rejections
Right shoulder: The bottom is higher, showing that the seller has lost enthusiasm
Neckline/Control Zone: around the 4460-4470 area, to which the price is currently reacting
A confirmed break above the neckline indicates bullish intent. However, the price is currently trading near the Zone of Control (POC), an area that is often susceptible to psychological reactions and price fluctuations.
Critical level of monitoring
continuation area
Staying above the neckline maintains a healthy bullish structure.
Clear acceptance above the control zone opens the door for continued movement towards higher liquidity and Fibonacci extension targets.
Corrections and Risk Areas
Liquidity risk: 4333 – 4349
If the market fails to hold above the neckline, a deeper correction in this liquidity area may occur before buyers re-enter.
basic background
Gold’s rebound is based on trade war concerns, geopolitical tensions and expectations of increased global monetary easing.
Central bank orders remain a key pillar of support for prices.
In 2026, gold’s performance will continue to be affected by the value of the U.S. dollar, public risk sentiment and central bank monetary policy decisions.
Lana’s Trading Method
Do not follow near controlled areas. Expect fake interactions and actions.
It is better to buy on a correction than on a top.
If the price continues above the neckline and the structure is strong, continued upward movement remains the main scenario.
If the neckline fails, wait patiently for liquidity to drop before looking for new buying opportunities.
This analysis reflects Lana’s personal views on the market and is for research purposes only. We always manage risks carefully. 💛
