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XAUUSD (H1) – Liam’s destination: a strong breakout


XAUUSD (H1) – Liam’s destination: a strong breakout

gold OANDA:XAUUSD



→ Short term bearish turn, I prefer to sell on rebound | Buy quick reaction 4330–4333

quick summary
Gold has seen a very strong decline with a clear breakout structure (BOS) – and is now taking a short-term bearish turn. Prices are currently on a technical rebound, so the most obvious plans are:

Never chase short at the bottom

Wait for 4458-4462 to rebound and sell from the high supply area

If price pulls back, look for quick reaction buys at 4330-4333

1) Technical insights (based on your charts)

The sell-off appears to be like a classic liquidity pump: big bearish candle, several support points broken → confirming intraday bearish pressure.

After a decline, the market typically retests liquidity (redistributes) before the next phase.

The 4330-4333m area marked as support has “tested the liquidity” – still capable of providing a rebound, but is more of a volatile area and has not yet fully reversed.

2) Main level

✅ Sales area: 4458 – 4462 (supply/elastic shorts)
✅ Buying area: 4330 – 4333 (support/quick response)

3) Trading Scenario (Liam Method: Horizontal Trading)
Scenario A (Priority): Sell the bounce

✅ Promotion: 4458 – 4462

Stop Loss Guide: 4470 (or above the recent time frame low and high)

TP1: 4400 – 4390

TP2:4333

TP3: Extend downward if structure continues to collapse

Logic: 4458-4462 is your better short entry after breaking out of a strong structure – avoid selling too late.

Scenario B: Buying reaction at support (swings only)

✅ Purchase: 4330 – 4333

SL Guide: 4322–4325

Target price: 4370→4400 (quote)

Logic: This area could trigger a technical rebound. Only buy when there is a clear signal to catch the lower timeframes (M5-M15) – don’t try to catch the falling knife.

4) Confirm the rules (avoid the noise)

If the price reaches 4458-4462 and fails to recover the above area → the selling trend remains strong.

If 4330 is broken and closes below → Stop buying and watch for rebound sales.

5) Risk warning

No access to intermediate ranges – only works at 4330–4333 or 4458–4462.

Risk per trade: 1-2% maximum.

After a decline, spreads and candlesticks may widen – and volume may decrease.

Which side are you leaning towards today: sell at 4458-4462, or wait for the rebound reaction and buy at 4330-4333?



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